New
polling numbers out of Gallup indicate that nearly 80 percent of Tea Bagger
supporters describe themselves as Republicans, while 15 percent say they are
Democrats and just six percent are, in their own minds, "pure
independents."
The
numbers between Tea Baggers and conservative Republicans also track closely on
other measures, including the image ratings of President Obama. Fifteen percent of Baggers have a favorable view
of the president, while 11 percent of conservative Republicans say the same.
Those numbers are strikingly different to poll data of all Americans -- 53
percent of whom view Obama favorably.
Asked
whether they would support a generic Republican or a generic Democrat for
Congress this fall, 80 percent of Tea Baggers chose the GOP candidate, while 15
percent opted for the Democrat.
The
Tea Bagger movement is more a rebranding of core Republicanism than a new or
distinct entity on the American political scene," Gallup Poll director
Frank Newport wrote in an analysis of the results, which were culled from
national surveys conducted in March, May and June.
The
Gallup findings generally affirm findings by Resurgent Republic, a conglomerate
of GOP polling firms, in five states over the past weeks.
"This
is a group that is organically more Republican," said GOP pollster Glen
Bolger, who conducted several focus groups of tea bagger backers. "They
have turned the page on Obama."
The
more important concern for republicans is when it comes to assessing the Tea Bagger’s
influence in the midterm elections. As victories by Rand Paul in Kentucky and Sharron Angle in Nevada show, the
tea baggers don’t take their marching orders from the national Republican
leadership.
Republican
leaders who worry about the Tea Bagger movement’s impact on their races may in
fact be defined as largely worrying about their party's core base.
No comments:
Post a Comment