New Hampshire Senate numbers reveal the double edged sword that is a half
term Governor Sarah Palin endorsement. In the short term Kelly Ayotte has
opened a wide lead in the Republican primary. But the Palin endorsement could
be hurting Ayotte’s chances of winning in the general election.
51% of New Hampshire voters overall say they’re less likely to vote for
a candidate endorsed by Palin to just 26% who say a Palin endorsement would
make them more inclined to be supportive. The disparity is even larger when it
comes to moderate voters- 14% of them are positively swayed by a Palin nod
while 65% say her support is more likely to turn them against one of her
preferred candidates
When we polled New Hampshire in April we found Ayotte’s favorability
numbers with moderates on positive ground at 32/27, something very unusual for
a Republican candidate. Now in the wake of the Palin endorsement that is no
longer the case- 27% of moderates see Ayotte favorably while 46% see her
unfavorably- a 24 point drop in her favorability spread over the last three
months.
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